Poor Charlie’s Almanack, Investing Principles Checklist

Have a look at some other quotes from Poor’s Charlie Almanack here

AN INVESTING PRINCIPLES CHECKLIST

Risk:

All investment evaluations should begin by measuring risk, especially reputational.

  • Incorporate an appropriate margin of safety.
  • Avoid dealing with people of questionable character.
  • Insist upon proper compensation for risk assumed.
  • Always beware of inflation and interest rate exposures.
  • Avoid big mistakes; shun permanent capital loss.

Independence:

“Only in fairy tales are emperors told they are naked.”

  • Objectivity and rationality require independence of thought.
  • Remember that just because other people agree or disagree with you doesn’t make you right or wrong—the only thing that matters is the correctness of your analysis and judgment.
  • Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean (merely average performance).

Preparation:

“The only way to win is to work, work, work, work, and hope to have a few insights.”

  • Develop into a lifelong self-learner through voracious reading; cultivate curiosity and strive to become a little wiser every day.
  • More important than the will to win is the will to prepare.
  • Develop fluency in mental models from the major academic disciplines.
  • If you want to get smart, the question you have to keep asking is “Why, why, why?”
  • Intellectual humility: Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom.
  • Stay within a well-defined circle of competence.
  • Identify and reconcile disconfirming evidence.
  • Resist the craving for false precision, false certainties, etc.
  • Above all, never fool yourself, and remember that you are the easiest person to fool.

Analytic rigor:

Use of the scientific method and effective checklists minimizes errors and omissions.

  • Determine value apart from price, progress apart from activity, wealth apart from size.
  • It is better to remember the obvious than to grasp the esoteric.
  • Be a business analyst, not a market, macroeconomic, or security analyst.
  • Consider the totality of risk and effect; look always at potential second-order and higher-level impacts.
  • Think forward and backward: Invert, always invert.

Allocation:

Proper allocation of capital is an investor’s number one job.

  • Remember that the highest and best use is always measured by the next best use (opportunity cost).
  • Good ideas are rare—when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet (allocate) heavily.
  • Don’t fall in love with an investment—be situation-dependent and opportunity-driven.

Patience:

Resist the natural human bias to act.

  • Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world” (Einstein); never interrupt it unnecessarily.
  • Avoid unnecessary transactional taxes and frictional costs; never take action for its own sake.
  • Be alert for the arrival of luck.
  • Enjoy the process along with the proceeds, because the process is where you live.

Decisiveness:

When proper circumstances present themselves, act with decisiveness and conviction.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.
  • Opportunity doesn’t come often, so seize it when it does.
  • Opportunity meeting the prepared mind—that’s the game.

Change:

Live with change and accept unremovable complexity.

  • Recognize and adapt to the true nature of the world around you; don’t expect it to adapt to you.
  • Continually challenge and willingly amend your best-loved ideas.
  • Recognize reality even when you don’t like it—especially when you don’t like it.

Focus:

Keep things simple and remember what you set out to do.

  • Remember that reputation and integrity are your most valuable assets—and can be lost in a heartbeat.
  • Guard against the effects of hubris and boredom.
  • Don’t overlook the obvious by drowning in minutiae.
  • Be careful to exclude unneeded information or slop: “A small leak can sink a great ship.”
  • Face your big troubles, don’t sweep them under the rug